Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.176745 0.207938 0.242771 0.284516 0.333155 0.388007 0.454533
2025-10-12 0.137863 0.180316 0.232669 0.301833 0.390662 0.500771 0.647490
2025-10-19 0.112856 0.159695 0.221861 0.310097 0.431790 0.593373 0.823850
2025-10-26 0.093693 0.141522 0.208979 0.310552 0.459067 0.667635 0.982059
2025-11-02 0.077069 0.123314 0.192116 0.301227 0.469109 0.716662 1.108201
2025-11-09 0.063173 0.106526 0.174234 0.286771 0.468085 0.747434 1.208695
2025-11-16 0.055146 0.097517 0.166663 0.286557 0.487882 0.810494 1.364074
2025-11-23 0.047192 0.087288 0.155488 0.278547 0.493364 0.850483 1.485672
2025-11-30 0.042782 0.082471 0.152590 0.283810 0.521131 0.929086 1.678744
2025-12-07 0.038274 0.076761 0.147271 0.283896 0.539465 0.992967 1.852475
2025-12-14 0.033550 0.069921 0.138945 0.277262 0.544547 1.033558 1.988275
2025-12-21 0.030107 0.065075 0.133685 0.275614 0.558412 1.090894 2.159852
2025-12-28 0.028481 0.063918 0.135873 0.289659 0.605860 1.218988 2.485339
2026-01-04 0.027232 0.063414 0.139395 0.307057 0.662522 1.371805 2.877835
2026-01-11 0.025268 0.061030 0.138660 0.315438 0.701696 1.494362 3.223625
2026-01-18 0.022889 0.057314 0.134531 0.315900 0.724094 1.585149 3.514045
2026-01-25 0.020085 0.052142 0.126437 0.306419 0.723599 1.627982 3.707853
2026-02-01 0.017312 0.046586 0.116669 0.291723 0.709463 1.639790 3.835380
2026-02-08 0.015777 0.043895 0.113263 0.291505 0.728428 1.725921 4.136669
2026-02-15 0.013980 0.040222 0.106953 0.283362 0.727588 1.767241 4.340284
2026-02-22 0.013080 0.038817 0.106110 0.288712 0.760025 1.888422 4.742402
2026-03-01 0.012016 0.036781 0.103362 0.288800 0.779352 1.980650 5.085259
2026-03-08 0.010767 0.034009 0.098279 0.282055 0.780409 2.028872 5.326049